Find it at Blessed Herbs.com!

« Lessons of Star Media | Main | Musings on Music Mergers and Mongolian Hip Hop »

If you build it you may go bust

dubai_consruction.jpg

There isn't anyone in the Arabian Gulf states that doesn't know that the region's oil reserves aren't going to last more than another century and possibly a lot less. As a result, there is a serious effort among said states to diversify their economies, to make them less reliant on oil exports. The way that most governments have chosen to accomplish this goal is to use oil revenues to fund massive construction projects. According to the Gulf News there are a few someones in the World Bank that think this approach has reached or maybe even gone beyond the point of diminishing returns:

Governments in the region are ploughing money into giant infrastructure projects to help wean their economies off oil exports. More than $1 trillion worth of projects are in the pipeline. "There is enough construction...," Hossein Razavi, director of the World Bank's private sector finance and infrastructure department in the Middle East and North Africa, told Reuters in an interview.

The consequences of the over-emphasis on construction, Razavi says, is higher inflation:

Last week the UAE economy minister blamed a spike in inflation, estimated at around 6 per cent in 2005, on soaring construction costs, driven by regional demand for everything from cement to labour. ... Last week the UAE economy minister blamed a spike in inflation, estimated at around 6 per cent in 2005, on soaring construction costs, driven by regional demand for everything from cement to labour.

Here's what Razavi recommends be done instead:

"(Gulf states should) develop export-oriented industries because that is the source of long-term sustainable growth for the region and I think that is the one area that should have the highest priority," he said on the sidelines of a conference in Abu Dhabi. "I think a much stricter fiscal policy (will mean) limiting expenditure to the absorptive capacity of the country, limiting expenditure to creating a business environment that does not lead to inflation," he said.

He also suggests that governments refrain from financing the projects themselves and make greater use of capital markets and private sector partnerships:

Governments across the region are footing the bill for most of the projects, either directly or through state-owned companies and investment arms. Razavi said governments could finance infrastructure by tapping capital markets and developing partnerships with the private sector. "Any other investment that depends on utilising oil revenue is not a sustainable investment. But when you bring the private sector to making investments, that is essential and it is what we are hoping the governments in this region do."

How interesting it is that even oil-rich sheikhdoms are being advised to live and build within their means.
Technorati tags: | | | | | | | | | |

Delicious tags: Dubai | UAE | Construction | Economics |

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://thebusinessofamericaisbusiness.biz/MT/mt-tb.cgi/214

Post a comment

About Me

Blog Roll

Powered by
Movable Type 3.31